منابع مشابه
Very Long-Run Discount Rates
We provide the first direct estimates of how agents trade off immediate costs and uncertain future benefits that occur in the very long run, 100 or more years away. We find that very longrun discount rates are low, much lower than implied by most economic theory. We estimate these discount rates by exploiting a unique feature of residential housing markets in England, Wales and Singapore, where...
متن کاملThe Long-Term Discount Rate∗
We develop an expression for the long-term discount rate in an economy in which a representative consumer has access to both a risk-free and a risky production technology. Even when the risk-free sector is very small, and with probability one becomes a negligible fraction of the economy in the long run, interest rates are determined differently than in a single-sector economy. As in a single-ri...
متن کاملInvestigating the Short- run and Long-run Causality Relationship between the Exchange Rate Regime and the Real Exchange Rate Misalignment in the OPEC Countries
Real exchange rate misalignment means that the real exchange rate deviates from its equilibrium level and is the cause of many domestic and global economic problems. This index is considered as an important indicator in foreign competition and in case of adopting an inappropriate exchange rate regime; it may create economic instability and affect economic performance. This issue is important in...
متن کاملThe Social Discount Rate
What discount rate should be applied to social investments? It is standard to use the market interest rate, thereby respecting private preferences. We show that application of this “revealed preference” criterion rests on faith, not logic. It is justified only if preferences over all choices, including past choices, are time invariant. The conditions for this to be true are stringent. Under mor...
متن کاملLong- Run Movements of the Parallel Market Premium in the Pre-Exchange Rate Unification Period in Iran
The purpose of this paper is to explain the causes of long-run movements in the parallel market premium in the pre-and-post revolution Iranian economy. The paper suggests that the premium is affected by both real and monetary shocks. Non-spurious co-integration results indicate that negative oil revenue shocks and a revolution-induced exogenous capital outflow caused the parallel market paralle...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Annual Review of Resource Economics
سال: 2014
ISSN: 1941-1340,1941-1359
DOI: 10.1146/annurev-resource-100913-012516